XPO Logistics Valuation

UX2A Stock  EUR 171.15  1.35  0.80%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. XPO Logistics maintains a prevalent Real Value of €183.31 per share. The last-minute price of the company is €171.15. Our model calculates the value of XPO Logistics from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.18, profit margin of 0.04 %, and Current Valuation of 23.22 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
12.6847
Enterprise Value
23.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.4123
Price Sales
2.458
Forward PE
26.8817
Undervalued
Today
171.15
Please note that XPO Logistics' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of XPO Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing XPO Logistics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the XPO stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of XPO Logistics. Since XPO Logistics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of XPO Stock. However, XPO Logistics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  171.15 Real  183.31 Hype  168.6 Naive  171.85
The real value of XPO Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of XPO Logistics Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on XPO Logistics' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of XPO Logistics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
154.04
Downside
183.31
Real Value
186.68
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of XPO Logistics helps investors to forecast how XPO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of XPO Logistics more accurately as focusing exclusively on XPO Logistics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.900.951.13
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
165.23168.60171.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
168.48171.85175.22
Details

XPO Logistics Cash

421.68 Million

XPO Logistics Total Value Analysis

XPO Logistics is at this time forecasted to have takeover price of 23.22 B with market capitalization of 20.05 B, debt of 60 M, and cash on hands of 497 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the XPO Logistics fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
23.22 B
20.05 B
60 M
497 M

XPO Logistics Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. XPO Logistics had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to XPO Logistics' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, XPO Logistics is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in March.

XPO Logistics Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. XPO Logistics has an asset utilization ratio of 99.55 percent. This implies that the Company is making €1.0 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that XPO Logistics is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

XPO Logistics Profitability Analysis

Based on XPO Logistics' profitability indicators, XPO Logistics may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess XPO Logistics' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2017-03-31
Previous Quarter
82 M
Current Value
59 M
Quarterly Volatility
96.3 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The XPO Logistics' current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 1.3 B
For XPO Logistics profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of XPO Logistics to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well XPO Logistics utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between XPO Logistics's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of XPO Logistics over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

XPO Logistics Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing XPO Logistics' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across XPO Logistics' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for XPO Logistics is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
XPO Logistics is projected to generate 0.95 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. XPO Logistics earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected XPO Logistics EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on XPO Logistics' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as XPO Logistics, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

XPO Logistics Ownership Allocation

XPO Logistics owns a total of 117.15 Million outstanding shares. The majority of XPO Logistics outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutions are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in XPO Logistics to benefit from reduced commissions. Accordingly, other corporate entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in XPO Logistics. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of XPO Logistics as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

XPO Logistics Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 8.16 B. Net Income was 316 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.5 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates XPO Logistics' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in XPO Logistics and how it compares across the competition.

About XPO Logistics Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines XPO Logistics' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of XPO Logistics. We calculate exposure to XPO Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of XPO Logistics's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit979 M1.3 B

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When running XPO Logistics' price analysis, check to measure XPO Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XPO Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of XPO Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XPO Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XPO Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XPO Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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